G7 meets as Amazon burns
Whatever you might think of the value of political talking shops like the G7, you know when they start by announcing there will be no joint communiqué at the end – for the first time in history (although last year’s was a little shaky) – because they fear in advance there will be no agreement, that things might have hit a bit of a wall.
French president Emmanuel Macron said the tradition – that at least helped give an impression of consensus among the western powers – would be abandoned at this weekend’s meeting in Biarritz because there was “a very deep crisis of democracy” with the established order under assault on several fronts.
Rachel Donadio at The Atlantic looks at the range of challenges and writes that Macron “could look at a burning building and see it as an excellent opportunity to better understand the role of oxygen in combustion. He examines the flames, he describes them well, but is it in his power to put them out?”
And appropriately enough, one of the key issues over which there is discord is climate change – a topic brought flaming to the fore as the world struggles to comprehend the potential damage that might be caused by the fires that have been raging in the Amazon rain forest of Brazil, and the extent to which the country’s relatively new president Jair Bolsonaro might be responsible.
Ahead of emergency talks on the issue, both France and Ireland threatened to block the Mercosur trade agreement between the EU and South American nations unless Brazil takes action to curb the fires.
Macron has called for #G7Summit talks on Brazil's #AmazonFires, but is he right to do so?
We put the question to people at the counter-summit in Hendaye and their reactions were mixed pic.twitter.com/w6dR5PpfSK
— Bloomberg TicToc (@tictoc) August 24, 2019
The dynamic at the G7 has been further complicated by the support for Bolsonaro from US president Donald Trump, and after a lunch on Saturday between Macron and Trump, the White House said that the G7 agenda was deliberately turning to “niche issues” like climate change for the purpose of embarrassing the US leader, who had wanted the meeting to be about trade.
'I think they respect the trade war'
US President Donald Trump denied his trade war with China was causing friction at the G7 summit, despite leaders expressing concern over the threat to the global economyhttps://t.co/0nhQY3kttm pic.twitter.com/bzVn5ENKFW
— AFP news agency (@AFP) August 25, 2019
The US president likely won’t have eased tensions with his hosts by threatening to impose tariffs on French wine.
Trump had also said he wanted the G7 to readmit Russia without apparently appreciating why they had been excluded, a move that Macron rejected as representing “a strategic mistake and a profound injustice.”
Protests, meanwhile, are expected to continue on the streets of Biarritz for the remainder of the summit.
Thousands of protesters marched near Biarritz, France, to demand action from world leaders attending the G7 summit there https://t.co/86ufVqkHbs pic.twitter.com/fghdRs4CjG
— CNN Breaking News (@cnnbrk) August 24, 2019
* Watch out for a new regular feature coming soon at Northern Slant – “Code Green” will be a fortnightly column highlighting environmental issues, by NS contributor Alina Utrata in California.
US wrestles with possible recession
As President Trump cancelled a trip to Denmark because it wouldn’t sell him Greenland and managed to get himself embroiled in a debate about whether or not he was the “King of Israel” such trivialities – once again – successfully distracted from some cautionary economic news at home and abroad.
The US budget deficit is set to top $1trillion; job creation numbers have been revised downwards by about half a million, the stock market had another wobbly week on the back of the escalating trade war with China and the president called his own chairman of the Federal Reserve an “enemy.”
I hereby order the Dow Jones to….
Oh. pic.twitter.com/3y9QCwDuSR
— Niall Stanage (@NiallStanage) August 23, 2019
Chinese are tough, they are also smart. They know @realDonaldTrump is very vulnerable to what happens with the US stock market. They know what @POTUS says about bilateral trade deficits is economically illiterate nonsense. They know his capacity to absorb pain is pretty limited.
— Lawrence H. Summers (@LHSummers) August 23, 2019
While Trump continues to talk up the economy, clearly any vulnerability among his base of supporters has negative implications for his potential re-election next year – not to mention for everyone else.
US Household Debt Is 20 % Higher Than Other Developed Countries – since 2008 HH Debt has stayed the same, when a recession comes US consumers will be burdened with debt making it unlikely they lead the global economy back up. @LanceRoberts @michaellebowitz @DiMartinoBooth pic.twitter.com/fVE5l6PgEr
— Patrick Hill (@PatrickHill1677) August 22, 2019
Meanwhile in the race to replace the current incumbent, Democratic candidates John Hickenlooper, Jay Inslee and Seth Moulton dropped out – the latter saying he thinks the contest is now “between [Joe] Biden [Bernie] Sanders and [Elizabeth] Warren.” But that leaves a lot of ‘others’ still to be redistributed as the field continues to shake out ahead of the third televised debate on Sept 12.
And in perhaps an interesting development on the Republican side, former Congressman Joe Walsh announced he would run a primary campaign against President Trump. He joins former Massachusetts Gov Bill Weld in challenging their party’s incumbent.
Former Republican Rep. Joe Walsh will primary Trump: "I'm going to run for president."
"No surprise: We've got a guy in the White House who is unfit, completely unfit to be president and it stuns me that nobody stepped up."
Via ABC pic.twitter.com/w5e5YbSb5A— Kyle Griffin (@kylegriffin1) August 25, 2019
(It’s important to point out here that this Joe Walsh is not the Eagles guitarist, nor is there remotely any irony in his album titles: ‘So What’ ‘But Seriously Folks’ ‘Ordinary Average Guy’ ‘There Goes The Neighborhood’ and ‘You Can’t Argue With A Sick Mind’.)
Merkel calls Johnson’s Bluff on Border
Before heading to the G7, Prime Minister Boris Johnson visited with German Chancellor Angela Merkel and came away thinking he had “won” a thirty day period to come up with a solution to the Irish border issue.
Nothing new from Merkel/Johnson. EU has always said Backstop could be replaced by legally operable alternative with same effect (not by vague promise to look for alternative). Unless BJ disowns his recent Tusk letter the ‘blistering 30-day timetable’ is a domestic delaying tactic https://t.co/rLyCuyFt5r
— Bobby McDonagh (@BobbyMcDonagh1) August 22, 2019
The reporting in Britain was probably predictable.
Brexit in two front pages.
The Guardian presents the truth of what happened today in Berlin, as Merkel insists on 30 day deadline to avert No Deal.
The Telegraph indulges Brexit ultras’ delusions that they are in the ascendancy. pic.twitter.com/omAbhr4V5V— John O’Brennan (@JohnOBrennan2) August 21, 2019
But at least the PM appeared to get the support he was really after when he got to the G7. And meanwhile, of course, the Irish border remains the sticking point to any progress.
– I’m going to knock down my house and live in a caravan while I decide what kind of mansion to build
– Thanks for telling me. What about my house?
– Not my problem
– It’s attached to your house
– Is it?
– You live in a semi-detached house. Attached to my house
– Here’s a tent— The Irish Border (@BorderIrish) August 21, 2019
As Amy Davidson Sorkin writes in this week’s New Yorker, “Many Brexiteers do seem to believe that the Irish will carry the load for them; the view is that the Republic has more to lose than anyone else in Europe if there is a no-deal Brexit, and so will persuade the rest of the EU to yield to even the wildest Johnsonian demands. (Others claim to be ready and eager for no-deal.) But, by the same measure, the Irish have more to lose than anyone from a bad deal that sells out their European future. And the idea, common among Brexiteers, that Ireland is economically dependent on the UK — that it would be lost without the British — is less and less true.”
Hong Kong protests continue
Pro-democracy protesters in Hong Kong joined hands on Friday to form a symbolic human chain that stretched for more than 25 miles, as the Chinese region entered a 12thweekend of disruption. On Sunday, police used water cannon against the crowd for the first time.
What do Hong Kong's protesters want? https://t.co/DJFeX2LRZo via @tictoc pic.twitter.com/XqXBKoOW4R
— Bloomberg Next China (@next_china) August 25, 2019
As the BBC reports, the demonstrations “were sparked by an extradition bill but have since morphed into broader anti-government protests.” While China told the US to “stop meddling”in Hong Kong’s affairs, former Trump adviser Steve Bannon likened the protesters to the “patriots” behind the American Revolution.
“I think the freedom of China starts in #HongKong… these kids, I say they're exactly like the patriots in 1776.”#SteveBannon on American Thought Leaders 🇺🇸
Watch: https://t.co/YqsSnt7cs0 pic.twitter.com/4vQxD8vC5O
— The Epoch Times (@EpochTimes) August 25, 2019
(Oh, and the Epoch Times was in the news itself this week, when its ads were banned by Facebook after an NBC investigation found that the media group had “spent more money on pro-Trump Facebook advertisements than any group other than the Trump campaign.”)
Fallout of suspicion after Russian nuclear accident
If you watched the brilliant TV series ‘Chernobyl’ recently, you’ll probably know that when monitoring stations gathering data on radiation levels go quiet it’s generally not a good thing.
The BBC reported that after a mysterious accident earlier this month, the Comprehensive Nuclear Test-Ban Treaty Organization (CTBTO) “said the technical failure at those sites was then followed by a failure at two more.”
While the Kremlin said this week that a Chernobyl-style “cover up” would be impossible because of “the speed of information exchange both within the country and from abroad,” Vice reported that Russia “appears to be trying to hide details of the suspected Aug. 8 explosion of a prototype “Skyfall” cruise missile.”
Russians don’t trust their authorities, and no one else should trust Putin’s government, either https://t.co/m2ivqzlD42
— Bloomberg Opinion (@bopinion) August 25, 2019
And as reliable information remains scarce about that, together with the string of incidents this summer, understandably questions have now been raised about Russia’s new “floating nuclear power plant.”
VIDEO: 🇷🇺 Russia launched the world's first floating nuclear reactor, sending it on an epic journey across the Arctic, despite environmentalists warning of a "Chernobyl on ice" pic.twitter.com/xfulvryFVu
— AFP news agency (@AFP) August 24, 2019